Bitcoin Historical Volatility — Why the Calculation Method ...

Bitcoin's historical volatility is at a 23-month low as expectations of a decisive move surface

submitted by WaggishNickel to CryptoMarkets [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Historical Volatility Approaching Zero Could Signal Blossoming Bull Trend

Bitcoin Historical Volatility Approaching Zero Could Signal Blossoming Bull Trend submitted by cryptolobe to cryptolobe [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Historical Volatility — Why the Calculation Method Matters

Bitcoin Historical Volatility — Why the Calculation Method Matters submitted by MyCoinStory to MyCoinStory [link] [comments]

Bitcoin historical volatility. Nearly 1 standard deviation below average

Bitcoin historical volatility. Nearly 1 standard deviation below average submitted by abeecrombie to btc [link] [comments]

Bitcoin historical volatility. Nearly 1 standard deviation below average • r/btc

Bitcoin historical volatility. Nearly 1 standard deviation below average • btc submitted by abeecrombie to nvest_ai [link] [comments]

Bitcoin historical volatility. Nearly 1 standard deviation below average

Bitcoin historical volatility. Nearly 1 standard deviation below average submitted by ABitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historical Low but Investors Feel Optimistic

Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historical Low but Investors Feel Optimistic submitted by EROSBabe to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historical Low but Investors Feel Optimistic (x-post from /r/Bitcoin)

Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Historical Low but Investors Feel Optimistic (x-post from /Bitcoin) submitted by ASICmachine to CryptoCurrencyClassic [link] [comments]

Get Ready for Some Action as Bitcoin Volatility Hits Historical Lows

Get Ready for Some Action as Bitcoin Volatility Hits Historical Lows submitted by bitcoinexchangeguide to BitcoinExchangeGuide [link] [comments]

1 Satoshi = 0.0038 US cents

If the big numbers fool you into thinking bitcoin's recent price drip is significant, understand that it is the percentage that is relevant, not the absolute value. The percentage decline is not in the slightest bit unusual compared bitcoin's historical volatility. It might also help to stop measuring the price of bitcoin, and start measuring the price of Satoshis. Right now 1 Satoshi = .0038 US cents.
submitted by MadBanker01 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

What Will Be Bitcoin's Next Big Price Event?

For the price of bitcoin, the summer was anything but smooth.
Markets boomed on news of 'the Brexit', tapered off through the long-awaited halving and tumbled on the news yet another exchange had been hacked. Since then, the price has fluctuated between $550 and $600, returning to the "relative" calm observed earlier in the year.
But given bitcoin's historical volatility, analysts are already beginning to question what may trigger bitcoin's next big price swing.
As we head into the fall and winter months, a diverse set of theories are beginning to emerge about conditions that could either boost the price, or see it return to its 2015 lows.
Institutional approval
Among the potential triggers cited by analysts, the emergence of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), an investment vehicle that generally tracks a basket of stocks or commodities, was perhaps the most often discussed.
Many market observers have been watching the status of two proposed ETFs with great interest, but for a while, there wasn't any reason to hope for developments. However, excitement for a potential market first has grown in recent weeks following the July announcement of the SolidX Bitcoin Trust and amid new filings by the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust.
The approval of either could represent a milestone for the bitcoin community, analysts say, as the ETFs would enable authorized participants to issues shares tied to real bitcoin holdings, which could be a catalyst for new liquidity.
Daniel Masters, director of Global Advisors Bitcoin Investment Fund (GABI), noted recently that many commodities have enjoyed sharp increases in price and more robust trading activity once ETFs based on the underlying assets hit the market.
He wrote in an August blog post:
"From the early 2000s onward, there was a proliferation of ETFs covering all manner of commodity interests. In each and every case – for gold, silver, oil, natural gas, platinum, copper and even indices – the advent of the ETFs led to higher prices, more trading volume of futures and cash exchanges and higher levels of commodity futures open interest."
Should either ETF receive approval, bitcoin could enjoy a notable increase in liquidity. It was this variable that Du Jun, co-founder of Chinese exchange Huobi, singled out as potentially driving the digital currency's price higher.
"Bitcoin's liquidity depends on the future of bitcoin's value and investors' expectation to a large extent," Du said.
Technical improvements
Yet another potential boost for the bitcoin price could come in the form of a long-awaited resolution to the "scaling" debate.
Currently, blocks of transactions on the bitcoin blockchain have a storage size of just 1MB. As this puts a limitation on the number of transactions the network can process (and therefore, some argue, adoption), there has been a sometimes messy and contentious drive in the community to change it.
But due to the tricky specifics of how a change to this hard-coded limit would need to be enacted, no consensus has yet been reached. Still, that doesn't mean solutions aren't on the way, the most notable of which is Segregated Witness (SegWit), an upgrade that recently saw a preliminary code release.
While promising for the network, though, analysts seemed less enthusiastic about SegWit’s potential impact on bitcoin prices.
Cryptocurrency investment fund manager Jacob Eliosoff, for example, said investors have likely already priced in the coming change as it was announced in December and originally expected to be deployed in April.
"SegWit's release seems too gradual and widely expected (not to say overdue) to really bump the price," Eliosoff said.
Tim Enneking, chairman of investment manager EAM, struck a similar tone, adding:
"I don’t think SegWit will have anything more than an incremental and marginal impact on BTC prices, at least in the short term."
Post-Halving pressures
In one of the more unique claims, investor and entrepreneur Vinny Lingham singled out the halving of rewards on the bitcoin network as a potential influence.
The prediction may be surprising given that a planned technical change the reduced the mining reward from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC took place earlier this summer, largely without fanfare.
But while bitcoin prices experienced little change this July, Lingham asserts its true impact has not yet been felt. In the next two-to-four weeks, forces resulting from the shift could cause the digital currency to surge, he said.
As detailed in a recent post, miners who aren't turning enough profit, he contends, may soon be forced to buy bitcoin from exchanges, an event he said was likely to trigger a "short squeeze", or a sharp increase in the price based on the lack of available supply.
He wrote in May:
"It’s the same as selling crops in the futures market and then being hit by a storm that wipes out half of your fields. The only way, technically, that this doesn’t happen, is if the price doubles on halving day (it won’t)."
Financial (in)stability
Finally, some predicted bitcoin's next major price event would be dependent on the stability of the global financial system.
Traders have repeatedly flocked to the digital currency in times of crisis, leading many market observers to label it a risk-off asset or even a "digital gold" that appeals during times of economic stress.
In the past, bitcoin has benefitted from situations such as the 'Brexit', as well as during periods of economic volatility in Greece and Cyprus.
It remains debatable how much of these increases is based on real capital flight, but there is still widespread belief that such events could come to be a powerful influencer going forward.
Huobi's Du spoke to this matter, telling CoinDesk that when the global financial system experiences volatility, investors will "look for more safe-haven investments" like bitcoin.
Another variable remains government responses to the digital currency. If major countries accept bitcoin, analysts said, it will affect both the currency's trading activity and value.
Source: coindesk.com
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submitted by Huobi-USD to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Experienced ‘Low Historical Volatility’ in 2019

Bitcoin Experienced ‘Low Historical Volatility’ in 2019 submitted by CryptoCrunchApp to CryptoCrunchApp [link] [comments]

3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Can (But Won't) Hit 20K By The End Of 2019 Bitcoin is one of the most volatile assets that the financial world has seen. This cryptocurrency has seen historic rise and drops, and the most historic

3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Can (But Won't) Hit 20K By The End Of 2019 Bitcoin is one of the most volatile assets that the financial world has seen. This cryptocurrency has seen historic rise and drops, and the most historic submitted by Crypterium_app to crypterium_com [link] [comments]

3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Can (But Won't) Hit 20K By The End Of 2019 Bitcoin is one of the most volatile assets that the financial world has seen. This cryptocurrency has seen historic rise and drops, and the most historic

3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Can (But Won't) Hit 20K By The End Of 2019 Bitcoin is one of the most volatile assets that the financial world has seen. This cryptocurrency has seen historic rise and drops, and the most historic submitted by Crypterium_app to Crypterium [link] [comments]

I've been working on a python program that forecasts bitcoin/alt coin prices based on back historical data. Crypto currencies are extremely volatile but that doesn't mean there aren't seasonal and predictive patterns. Is there any interest for a site displays forecasted models/graphs?

Right now I am running the program on an AWS EC2 server and texting (MMS) the images to myself (graphs forecasted 1day/3day/1week/3week etc.) for different currencies.
It would be pretty simple to add new users who want a once per day text showing them the highest predicted alt currencies for the day and also the predicted Bitcoin charts for the coming weeks.
Basically I've spent a lot of time creating predictive models and have good resources for up-to-date data, just need to know what people like you would want to see in a website or service that would show you this information. I can create iPhone Apps/websites but want to find out what you find most useful before I go to far down a rabbit hole.
Edit: Thanks for all the feedback. Just getting home from work and will go through the comments and try to respond.
Edit #2: People were asking for backtested data. Here is what the prediction model forecasted for data up to 1/14/18. The forecasts are at 1 week intervals predicting data up to 2/11/18. Prediction graphs. Looks like it was predicting a drop to 7.7k by 2-4 and a jump to ~12k today. The numbers aren't accurate in that they aren't the exact price, but in general the market trends are spot on.
Edit #3: put up a temporary email signup for people who want to be on the first couple rounds of daily email digests. If a lot of people show interest I will try to push the site a long faster.
http://amytoldme.com/charts
Edit #4 (3/6/18): I created a beta website with some minimal charts. They're updated 24/7. amytoldme.com
submitted by makhalifa to CryptoMarkets [link] [comments]

Fun fact, in 2017 we experienced the largest percentage increase in price during a bubble in bitcoins history, yet volatility was historically low. In 2 years we will have similar volatility levels as Gold, in 4 years we will have similar volatility levels as other major currencies.

Fun fact, in 2017 we experienced the largest percentage increase in price during a bubble in bitcoins history, yet volatility was historically low. In 2 years we will have similar volatility levels as Gold, in 4 years we will have similar volatility levels as other major currencies. submitted by slvbtc to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

I've been working on a python program that forecasts bitcoin/alt coin prices based on historical trends. Crypto currencies are extremely volatile but that doesn't mean there aren't seasonal and predictive patterns. Is there any interest for a site displays forecasted models/graphs?

Right now I am running the program on an AWS EC2 server and texting (MMS) the images to myself (graphs forecasted 1day/3day/1week/3week etc.) for different currencies.
It would be pretty simple to add new users who want a once per day text showing them the highest predicted alt currencies for the day and also the predicted Bitcoin charts for the coming weeks.
Basically I've spent a lot of time creating predictive models and have good resources for up-to-date data, just need to know what people like you would want to see in a website or service that would show you this information. I can create iPhone Apps/websites but want to find out what you find most useful before I go to far down a rabbit hole.
Here is an example (price spoiler alert) of a predictive BTC chart that I ran today.
Chart.
Edit: Thanks for all the feedback. Just getting home from work and will go through the comments and try to respond.
Edit #2: People were asking for backtested data. Here is what the prediction model forecasted for data up to 1/14/18. The forecasts are at 1 week intervals predicting data up to 2/11/18. Prediction
graphs.
Looks like it was predicting a drop to 7.7k by 2-4 and a jump to ~12k today. The numbers aren't accurate in that they aren't the exact price, but in general the trends are the market are spot on.
Edit #3: put up a temporary email signup for people who want to be on the first couple rounds of daily email digests. If a lot of people show interest I will try to push the site a long faster.
http://amytoldme.com/charts
Edit #4 (3/6/18): Here's the beta website, charts updated 24/7. More to come! amytoldme.com
submitted by makhalifa to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Low Volatility In Bitcoin (BTC) Markets Historically Preceded Crypto Rallies - Ethereum World News

Low Volatility In Bitcoin (BTC) Markets Historically Preceded Crypto Rallies - Ethereum World News submitted by prnewswireadmin to cryptonewswire [link] [comments]

[OC] In spite of the volatility, Bitcoin is a better store of value than Gold (historical data) /r/BitcoinSerious

[OC] In spite of the volatility, Bitcoin is a better store of value than Gold (historical data) /BitcoinSerious submitted by HiIAMCaptainObvious to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

Low Volatility In Bitcoin (BTC) Markets Historically Preceded Crypto Rallies - Ethereum World News

Low Volatility In Bitcoin (BTC) Markets Historically Preceded Crypto Rallies - Ethereum World News submitted by ulros to fbitcoin [link] [comments]

In Brazil, total monthly volume of Bitcoin trades in August is over R$ 9.2 millions (US$ 2.6M) - very close to July's historical high. Full report in Portuguese also compares Bitcoin Volatility with S&P500, USDBRL and IBOV.

In Brazil, total monthly volume of Bitcoin trades in August is over R$ 9.2 millions (US$ 2.6M) - very close to July's historical high. Full report in Portuguese also compares Bitcoin Volatility with S&P500, USDBRL and IBOV. submitted by lpersona to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

The price of a Bitcoin has ALWAYS been volatile. I thought everyone knew this, until I discovered that some new /r/Bitcoin redditors thought the price used to be stable! Look at this random historical price sample. This is not even as bad as it got.

The price of a Bitcoin has ALWAYS been volatile. I thought everyone knew this, until I discovered that some new /Bitcoin redditors thought the price used to be stable! Look at this random historical price sample. This is not even as bad as it got. submitted by ferroh to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin COT Largest Shorts vs Longs, Historical Volatility. Bitcoins Long was flagged, Adv Traders Bitcoin Volatility: What You Need To Know Calculate volatility & yearly volatility in Excel (Bitcoin volatility) HUGE BITCOIN VOLATILITY INCOMING! Craig Wright exposes his bitcoin holdings! BITCOIN VOLATILITY!

Historical Volatility Percentile tells you the percentage of the days from the past year (252 trading days) that have lower volatility than the current volatility. I included a simple moving average as a signal line to show you how volatile the stock is at the moment. I have included simple colors to let you know when to enter or exit a position. Buy when... Figure 2: Volatility ratio between Bitcoin and other asset classes. Bitcoin vs S&P 500. Figure 3 takes a closer look at the evolution of the historical volatility of Bitcoin and the S&P 500. It shows that in spite of the peak in volatility due to the March 12th event, the volatility spread between the two assets was very tight during the whole month of April. Historical Volatility of Hashprice Volatility of Hashprice (2018-2020) To give context to how volatile hashprice is, we put it up against the price of Bitcoin, WTI Oil and the S&P 500. These are measures of historical volatility based on past Bitcoin prices. When the Bitcoin options market matures, it will be possible to calculate Bitcoin's implied volatility, which is in many ways a better measure. How volatile is Bitcoin relative to gold and other currencies? For comparison, the volatility of gold averages around 1.2%, while other major currencies average between 0.5% and ... Historical Volatility Percentile tells you the percentage of the days from the past year (252 trading days) that have lower volatility than the current volatility. I included a simple moving average as a signal line to show you how volatile the stock is at the moment. I have included simple colors to let you know when to enter or exit a ...

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Bitcoin COT Largest Shorts vs Longs, Historical Volatility. Bitcoins Long was flagged, Adv Traders

Some say that the recent rise of more advanced bitcoin-related financial services, including hedge funds, futures, and derivatives markets, could help stabilize the future of Bitcoin. This week, a ... Why Bitcoin Volatility is Irrelevant - Duration: 2:56. The Naughty Investor 93 views. 2:56 . How To Find The Best Penny Stocks Daily - Duration: 21:41. Timothy Sykes 82,196 views. 21:41. How to ... This video is unavailable. Watch Queue Queue. Watch Queue Queue Please like and subscribe to the channel. This video shows how to calculate the volatility and the yearly volatility. In my video I calculated the volatilties of the Bitcoin. Comment below any ... Bitcoin and altcoin volatility is at an all time high. If you are going to enter into the world of cryptocurrency PLEASE WATCH! #Bitcoin #Alcoin Cryptocurrency.

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